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Soccer Banter

Portugal v Czech Republic QF Preview

6/20/2012

3 Comments

 
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Portugal and Czech Republic have advanced to the quarterfinals of the Euro 2012 competition and the match will be played at the National Stadium in Warsow, Poland on Thursday, June 21, 2012. The last time both teams met in a Euro Quarterfinals match was in 1996 when Czech Republic defeated Portugal on Karel Poborsky’s chip over “golden generation” goalkeeper Vitor Baia for a 1-0 result.  The only other meeting between the two sides was in the Euro 2008 group stage match where the Portuguese managed a 3-1 victory. 

Both Portugal and Czech Republic suffered defeats in their opening games, but managed to win their remaining two games to advance from their respective groups.  Czech started the tournament with a massive loss to Russia and seemed to be the weakest side after all first round games were played.  Manager Michal Bilek quickly recognized the importance of starting Thomas Hubschmann as a holding midfielder and moving Petr Jiracek out wide on the right side.  The move provided stability in midfield and allowed Jiracek to play wider in midfield where he found success in scoring goals.  Portugal qualified from the "group of death" as predicted and explained in the Portugal Preview.  Although the Portuguese suffered a defeat against the Germans, the team’s performance was promising and deserving of a draw, but the likes of Ronaldo & co weren’t efficient in and around the attacking box with their scoring opportunities.  In the final two matches, Portugal would continue to create opportunities and improved on their efficiency, scoring five goals and registering two impressive results against Denmark and the Netherlands. 



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The wing play has been tremendous for both teams and will be critical for either team's success in the quarterfinal match.  Ronaldo and Nani in Portugal's 4-3-3 and Jiracek and Pilar in Czech 4-2-3-1 have to perform well and create scoring opportunities for their respective countries to advance.  As manager Bilek of Czech states: "The advantage of this system is that it creates a strong midfield and that there are fast and skillful players on the wing who can support Baros."  Between both sides, the “wingers” have scored and/or helped produced 8 of the nine goals scored for their teams.  Ronaldo did struggle to score in the first two fixtures and looked a bit exhausted from his season with Madrid, but with his performance against the Netherlands, he enters the match confident (as always) he can produce again for his country.    

Portugal will have little doubt about their starting XI as manager Paul Bento will start the same lineup he used in the previous three matches with all players available for the game.  However, with Thomas Rosicky ongoing Achilles injury, Czech probably won't feature the Arsenal play-maker in the XI again.  The Czech did manage a result without Rosicky against Poland, but without him in the lineup against Portugal it could be a different story. He's a significant loss and Baros could play his 4th game without a goal, and without Rosicky, the fantastic wing play of Jiracek and Pilar may not be as dynamic.  Even though all Portuguese players are fit and ready for the match, concerns remain for Portugal as well.  Defensively they have struggled to deal with crosses within the flow of the game and the marking on set pieces has been horrendous.  It is an area that needs improvement for Bento’s side if the Portuguese want to contend for the Euro 2012 championship.



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Bilek's version of a 4-5-1 is to provide shape and balance in midfield with the objective to have the five midfielders control the play centrally.  Although this was lacking in the first game against Russia, the manager has solved this issue with the insertion of Hubschmann in the starting XI.  Both he and Miguel Veloso have similar responsibilities for their teams and are equally important to the team’s success as is the flank play.  Bento wants to pressure higher when possible.  It requires his central players Miereles or Moutinho to press from central positions.  However, that is not always the case and Portugal at times, find themselves defending deeper than expected and with Ronaldo’s freedom to stay high and not recover, Veloso finds himself also having to provide cover on the left side for Coentrao, if Mireles or Moutinho are unable to.  This has created problems for Portugal’s side defensively and forced the left back and the trio in midfield to do a tremendous amount of defending.    

Both teams will be organized defensively, have a tendency to play more on the break, and hopeful their brilliant flank play continues with scoring production.  The Czech enter the match finishing first in their group, but with a negative goal differential, concerns regarding Cech's accountability in the goal, their play-maker doubtful for the fixture, and star forward Milan Baros not registering a goal in group games.  On the other hand, although Portugal needs to improve marking on set pieces and crosses into the box from the run of play, the Portuguese enter the match with the confidence they could of won the "group of death", all players available for the game, and with their star captain Ronaldo, fresh off his two goals against the Netherlands, eager to continue his scoring form.  On the day, much could dictate the outcome of the game, but Portugal has the individual quality, as well as, the team organization and unity to obtain the result.  The journey in the Euro 2012 competition ends for the Czech on Thursday.  The Portuguese will win to advance to the semi-finals and as they say in Portugal, "VIVA PORTUGAL!"




3 Comments
Jorge
6/20/2012 12:35:58 pm

Another well written and thought out piece. Without Rosicky and an old/out of form Baros, I can't see Czech scoring. I think Portugal will win by at least 2 goals. Width will matter and Portugals defensive organization just as important.. Exactly what you wrote.. 2 for 2 Mr. Lopes!!

Reply
Simon
6/20/2012 01:47:49 pm

I agree, this is a well written piece. I believe Portugal will be victorious, however it will be a close match (1 - 0). I think they will need a strong showing from the central midfielders.

Reply
Chris Mureithi
6/21/2012 05:07:38 am

Well written Sam, but I do not think this is a straight win for Portugal. The Czech know how to stop Portugal, I think if the Czech get physical with Ronaldo he could get that last yellow card that eliminates him from the semis. I think the cards, referee Howard Webb and a very confident Peter Cech could brew an upset in this game.

Reply



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    Samuel Lopes

    Lopes, a Portuguese American, is currently the Assistant Women's Soccer Coach at Providence College. His parents are originally from Penalva Do Casterlo, Portugal and came to the United States in 1976.  Lopes has previously served as an Assistant Coach with the Boston Breakers, Hudson Valley Quickstrike, New England Mutiny, Southern Connecituct and Saint Joseph's College.  

    Follow Lopes on Twitter:@_SamLopes





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